another_jim wrote:In my research, I settled on dose/filter_area as the predictor for extraction ratios. However, this is distinctly a second best; this ratio will also affect the flow characteristics. The hidden variable in all this is some true measures of grinder setting. One would be the grind fineness of the coarse particles, which would determine the soluble yield. The other would be some, or the proportion of fines, or whatever else it is that determines the flow rate through the puck
I think there's a typo in your last sentence.
In any case, predicting the flow rate based on dose, filter area, extraction pressure and grind setting is impossible. The rampup rate to full pressure at the beginning of the extraction is a huge factor. Assuming one grinds, doses, distributes and tamps in precisely the same manner each time, I bet the shot time needed to extract 1.5 oz/25g of espresso could vary from 25 seconds to 90 seconds depending on how fast or slow you brought the pressure up at the beginning of the shot. As I've said in many boring posts on alt.coffee, that is the significance of water debit. After the first few seconds of the extraction, your machine's water debit is irrelevant (or very nearly so).
This also may be the reason for Petracco's mystery graph in Figure 7.1 of
"Espresso Coffee -- The Science of Quality." He claims that the flow rate is less at 7 bar than it is at 5 bar. I think he's wrong. I believe he's confusing the initial rampup to pressure with the subsequent steady-state pressure.
Can't blame him though, the poor guy's undoubtedly using one of those obsolete fixed pressure pumps instead of a modern profiling pump. If only he'd ask, I'd send him a Schectermatic.
