www.espressoparts.com: espresso machines, grinders, brewing equipment & parts

TGP II: Particle Distribution Analysis of Grinder Adjustments

Postby another_jim on Sun Sep 19, 2010 9:07 pm

Thanks to new member Kendall Mills, we now have chance to answer the biggest question raised by the TGP: why some grinders, particularly the big commercial conicals, are more consistent in adjustment than many of the smaller flat burr grinders.

Kendall has agreed to do a size distribution analysis of about 12 grind samples. Each analysis can be economically modeled as mixture of fine and coarse particles, each with a exponential family distribution. The models can then be compared for different grinders and grind settings.

For instance, to get really extreme, one grinder may adjust finer or coarser by changing the proportion of fines, but leaving the coarse particles unchanged, while another may leave the fines constant and change the size of the coarse particles. These are clearly extremes, but it gives you an idea of what we might find.

This thread is to put discuss the best way to collect grind samples.

Here is my suggestion, which I hope others will either improve or shoot down. We order a standard coffee, Black Cat or some other well known blend, and make shots with it 8 days post roast. We use a standard basket and two different doses. For instance, we can use an LM basket at 15 and 20 grams, or an E61 at 12 and 17 grams. Each person will dial in the two doses to get the same weight at the same time, for instance, 1 ounce in 30 seconds. Then everyone sends me a 10 gram samples from each dialed in grind (my address is already public, and my building staff is used to getting weird packages addressed to me). I'll select the best samples up to the number that can be analyzed, and send then on to Kendall

Here are the main questions:
  • One sample from 12 grinders or two doses from 6 grinders?
  • Restrict it to one basket and machine or allow variants?
  • Which coffee?

This can be huge, so put on your thinking caps!
User avatar
another_jim
Team HB
 
Posts: 7489
Joined: May 05, 2005
Location: Chicago

Postby Arpi on Sun Sep 19, 2010 11:00 pm

Thanks Kendall for this great opportunity.

Jim, I have a couple Qs. You know much better than I. Hope the Qs don't sound too critical.

1 Are SOs better suited for this type of testing (as opposed to a blend)?

2 How would people deal with storage and humidity during the 8 waiting days? I ask this because beans could pick up humidity. And drier beans are be more brittle (more fines?).

If it were me, I would vote for the 2x6 samples form instead of 1x12. The results would be more solid as the condition of the burrs could play a role. If possible, I would chose two people with the same grinder.

I think it would be important if all beans came out of the roast batch (just in case).

Cheers
User avatar
Arpi
 
Posts: 955
Joined: Jan 25, 2009
Location: Baltimore

Postby wookie on Sun Sep 19, 2010 11:56 pm

another_jim wrote:Here are the main questions:
  • One sample from 12 grinders or two doses from 6 grinders?
  • Restrict it to one basket and machine or allow variants?
  • Which coffee?


Thank you to Kendall and yourself for the effort to pull this together. To address only the most obvious questions: To be meaningful, there should be an effort to eliminate as many extraneous variables as possible. All grind samples from the same batch of coffee. And a coffee with a reputation of being competently roasted so that we're not distracted by unusual roasting artifacts. I'm sure that this would be satisfied by any number of brand name coffees such as Black Cat. No one coffee will have universal acclaim, but Black Cat may be one good candidate in so much as it is widely distributed and well known to a lot of people.

It may not make a difference, but I would suggest an effort to restrict this to one basket and machine. It would be aggravating if the results were tainted or muddied by differences between baskets and machines that are not obvious at this time.

Most of all, I would suggest that two samples from 6 grinders would be more informative. I'm sure a lot of people would like to see grinder X (probably the one they own) included. But two samples per grinder would provide a second level of information. Not just how distributions vary between grinders. But also whether "coarser" vs. "finer" grinds affect distributions in a consistent manner across many grinders or if each grinder is a story unto itself. At least two large conical and two large planar grinders amongst the six? Plus a bulk grinder?

Open ended questions: Agree/Disagree? Any important considerations that haven't been raised yet?

.
wookie
 
Posts: 249
Joined: Jul 25, 2005
Location: PNW

Postby Ken Fox on Mon Sep 20, 2010 1:18 am

First, thanks to Kendall for his efforts.

But, does anyone here seriously think that anything useful can come of this? Finding a needle in a haystack would be far easier.

By way of biases, let me state that I think we are barking up the wrong tree. But let's say, for the sake of argument, that there was really something simple to find in this sort of analysis that would answer a useful question or questions. Now how would one set about trying to find this piece of information?

I think that one would simplify the "experiment" substantially in order to give it some chance, however small, of answering at least one question. And how would one do that?

(1) Use a single batch of a simple coffee consisting of one type of bean. This would be the easiest. If one chose to complicate matters than use a single bag of a single blend that had been freshly roasted.

(2) Use a couple of grinders, one that could be considered to be mediocre and one that could be considered to be excellent. Perhaps one could choose a Rocky or a Mazzer Mini for the "mediocre" grinder, and a Robur or a Compak K10 or something else in that class as the "excellent" grinder.

(3) Have the two grinders in one place, preferably where the test is to be performed, and have them grind the coffee within a relatively short period of time before the coffee is analyzed. Set the grinders to produce an equivalent, acceptable "pour" time and volume on an "acceptable" reference espresso machine.

(4) Analyze the resultant grounds.

If you found something with this sort of a simple test, then one could consider broadening the test, however the sort of stuff that is being discussed in this thread is almost certain to produce no useful results, whatsoever.

ken
What, me worry?

Alfred E. Neuman, 1955
Ken Fox
 
Posts: 2458
Joined: Oct 28, 2005
Location: Idaho

Postby wookie on Mon Sep 20, 2010 1:59 am

I'm not certain that grind distribution is well enough understood that it would be easily reduced to a true single variable that can be rigorously tested. Or that such a narrow focus would even be the best approach at this point. There is obviously value in the rigorous approach that Ken advocates. But I was looking at this as an opportunity to look for trends and flesh out general principles. This might not be as definitive but we would probably gain a better overall understanding of what is going on.

Two different approaches. And either way, the methodology deserves discussion and careful planning.

.
wookie
 
Posts: 249
Joined: Jul 25, 2005
Location: PNW

Postby another_jim on Mon Sep 20, 2010 3:21 am

Ken Fox wrote:I think that one would simplify the "experiment" substantially in order to give it some chance, however small, of answering at least one question. And how would one do that?


This is not only addressed to Ken, but to all the other people miseducated in scientific method: valid knowledge requires more immediate and arguably more important things than experiments

  • discovery, for instance: after tripping and falling down, you see a stone near your feet
  • reasoning, as in "maybe I tripped over this stone,"
  • finding evidence, as in seeing traces of the right color shoe polish on the stone
  • establishing the possibilities, as in asking other people what they have tripped over, and if stones are included
For most people, this entirely experiment-free process would be enough for them to conclude they indeed had tripped over the stone. However, if puzzles and mysteries remained, they could do the experiment of tripping over some more stones. They could also eliminate alternative causes by seeing that they could not possibly have tripped over the other entities in the vicinity, like nearby trees, houses, passers-by, or the sky.

This grinder exercise is not an experiment, but an exploration. Its goal is to find out the sort of things that can happen to the particle distribution when the grind setting is changed, something we do not know now. By sampling a variety of the grinders from the TGP, whose performance is fairly well known, and by using them to make roughly equivalent shots, we'll find out:
  • the sorts of things that can happen to the distribution when grind settings are changed,
  • perhaps some hint of systematic differences between the sorts of things that do happen in different kinds of grinder.
  • and perhaps even some clues about how the differences between grinders lines up with differences in their operability and taste.

Once we have done this, we'll certainly know more about grind distributions than we do now, and we my even have ideas worth testing by experiment.
User avatar
another_jim
Team HB
 
Posts: 7489
Joined: May 05, 2005
Location: Chicago

Postby Dieter01 on Mon Sep 20, 2010 3:59 am

I agree with whats been stated above, limit this test to a few grinders (say a Rocky, a Super Jolly and a Robur) all dialed in by the same person on the same machine. Ideally the coffee should be cupped by more than one person and the notes available alongside the test results.

I'm a bit skeptical to sending ground coffee in the mail though... If the samples are provided enough energy (shaking, changes in temperature etc) the particle distribution could change. Perhaps this should be tested first? if Kendall would grind up two samples on his grinder and leave one undisturbed but put the other one through rigorous shaking, into the fridge and back to room temperature etc this issue could be settled.
User avatar
Dieter01
 
Posts: 174
Joined: Aug 02, 2007
Location: Norway

Postby peacecup on Mon Sep 20, 2010 4:13 am

If we're just exploring, and not testing statistics, a pair of samples from six grinders would tell more that one from each of twelve. If each sample from a pair looks roughly the same, then a "good enough" level of confidence would be achieved that the particle distribution on X grinder is Y.

Now, if the three flat burrs all end up looking like Y, and the three conicals look like Z, and Y tastes like "#"% and Z tastes better, then you're on to something.

PC
LMWDP #049
Hand-ground, hand-pulled: "hands down.."
User avatar
peacecup
 
Posts: 2106
Joined: Aug 25, 2005
Location: Sweden

Postby akallio on Mon Sep 20, 2010 5:26 am

Interestingly, I linked the original thread to a local coffee forum and we ended up in a similar argument...

Both points of view have their merits. Controlled experiments are not the only solution and make little sense if we do not understand the context well enough to design a good experiment. On the other hand, exploring plain noise does not increase our understanding.

To get some measures of the variance of "the testing machinery", multiple samples per grinder are needed. At least two, preferrable more. At least I would be more interested in seeing a robust result of two representative grinders (Mini and Robur, perhaps) than having more grinders tested. Of course it would be nice to have both, but it will be quite a lot of work.
akallio
 
Posts: 225
Joined: Feb 03, 2009
Location: Helsinki, Finland

Postby another_jim on Mon Sep 20, 2010 8:05 am

Duplicating some samples is a great idea; since getting all the samples from one source is a practical and ethical non-starter: we are not a lab; we are a community. This means while all the samples will be from the same basket type, dose, coffee and coffee age, they won't be from the exact same basket or type of machine. Moreover, transport and aging variations will add to the noise. Duplicating some grinders will serve as a rough control.

The analysis will also provide statistical controls. If there is an underlying order based on the mixture of two distributions, fines and coarse; then if even two of the samples are completely messed up, and the other four are moderately noisy, a robust analysis (these work by estimating thousands of models and dropping outliers on the fly -- oh, the wonders of fast silicone) will still discover that order. Having a duplicate grinder sample will act as a second check on the model's validity, in addition to the usual error diagnostics.
User avatar
another_jim
Team HB
 
Posts: 7489
Joined: May 05, 2005
Location: Chicago

Next

Return to Grinders