Hi Eric-
You're absolutely correct about the portafilter/no portafilter observation. I've seen that when going from my Rancilio to LM handle. Now that baby will suck the life right out of the group!
On a serious note though this mornings session brought me the lowest in shot swing I've seen yet. Here is what I did:
1.) Group idle at 204F (with portafilter). Flush to 201F with portafilter removed.
2.) Let group readout stabilize at 198F. This takes about 2 minutes in which time I prepare the basket.
3.) Lock and load then pull.
My routine like yours Eric has changed. Before I'd start building the shot then flush. Now the first thing I do when walking up to the espresso counter is flush the machine. Then I load the grinder with beans, grind, dose, brush out chute/doser, WDT, level then tamp. I'm finding Anita stable at 198F before I'm ready. I am still seeing a difference in start temps with this approach as to my old one. I may start using a warmer start temp (per the attachment). So instead of 198F I'm going to try to 199F. I'm thinking I may need this due to the much cooler group (204F idle rather than 217F).
The best part is that I'm seeing the lowest in shot swing so far the readout spikes to 208F then slowly flutters to 198F at the end of even my longish triples. I would suspect a longer extraction (30-40 seconds) to produce a lower end temperature, is this correct thinking?
I am curious though whether using some sort of a pre-shot flush is best or if using Ken's no-flush-needed approach may be better. By better I want to maintain the ability to use any blend without having to adjust the pstat (then my routine

). In other words I'd like to start just a little hotter then I need for any bean blend then do a very small flush. Doesn't the group need some sort of flush just to stabilize with the HX water anyways?
Edit- Something else I've noticed too is that the HX circuit rebounds faster than the group (obviously) but what I mean is that before the group would rebound faster (since it was hotter) so the rate of recovery was closer to that of the HX. Not so with this lower setting. I flushed and let the readout stabilize at 198F but I let it sit there for about 2 minutes. As I pulled the shot the group was still at 198F but the in shot spike was a crisp 210F. The punch of before is back, the sweetness is less and the bitters are up. Still a good shot, just different. Point of the matter is, beware the group is slow to rebound but the HX isn't that much slower. The pstat setting must affect the group's recovery time more so than the HX, which I suppose, makes sense seeing that the HX is
in the boiler where as the water in the group is relying on the mass of group. I'll admit I'm learning more about how my Anita processes temperatures with each shot I pull. This is probably nothing new to a lot of folks here, but dang I'm having fun with it and the espresso is superb.