Abe Carmeli wrote:Indeed. There is no need to go postal on the wine analogy. It is also useful as a business model for specialty coffee and the economical forces in both markets are very similar. But I agree that as a commodity - a product they are very different... see Ken's comments above, who by the way was stating the obvious (twice)

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We haven't
killed anyone yet
You have an inverse situation with the two products.
With coffee, you have a beverage that is drunk by a huge percentage of the population, but almost all of it is commodity grade and horrid.
With wine you have a beverage that is drunk by a relatively small percentage of the population, and most of what is drunk is at least "swallowable." The closest you can come to commodity grade wine is the worst of the stuff you might buy out of a large barrel in a bad French supermarket, wine in a box, or possibly "Two Buck Chuck," whatever that costs these days. The commodity wine product that is at the level of average coffee, might be used in Sangria or drunk specifically for the purpose of getting drunk. For those who haven't been paying attention, the consumption of bad cheap wine in Europe has plummeted over the last couple of decades.
Now, granted, most people approach coffee as if it were a drug delivery system for caffeine, so in that sense the average person on an airplane drinking the black swill offered by the stewardess, is akin to the college student or wino who buys cheap wine for a buzz. So, at the bottom rung you have two commodity products, one with a huge market share (coffee), where it represents the overwhelming majority of what is produced, and with the other product (wine) the bottom rung is targeted at an aberrant audience containing many people we would not want to have as neighbors.
There isn't much of a middle rung in coffee, other than by pricing, and since almost all of this range of coffee is going to be very stale, a true coffee connoisseur would have little interest in it. You can't simply take coffee by price and assign market ranges to it, since almost all of it is stale, if anyone actually tastes the stuff they'll realize that the incremental price increase that they paid for the stuff did not result in a much better cup of coffee. The middle rung of wine, which for the sake of illustration I'll describe as being from maybe $7.50 a bottle (in the US; cheaper in Europe) to maybe $25 or $30, can in fact be quite good. Our friends and neighbors and probably we ourselves drink this level of wine a large percentage of the time when we drink wine. But, wine is a minority beverage and the market penetration is nowhere approaching what it is for coffee, so it remains a beverage of "cultured people and snobs" in the view of the public.
At the high end of coffee, which has a miniscule market share, you could have everything from a good local roaster to what you might buy from Miguel's new operation. The price range is huge, and one has every reason to expect excellence and freshness. At the high end of wine, you have wines that only well off people can afford, except for perhaps very special occasions. One would hope that these are all excellent. However small the high end market for wine is, it is hugely bigger than the market for high end coffee. I'd bet that a huge majority percentage of those who drink expensive wines regularly drink horrid coffee and have no particular interest in coffee as a "fine beverage."
So what we have is much more similarities in the commodity ends of both of these beverages, although we don't turn up our nose at the coffee plonk drinkers, we do at wine plonk drinkers. At the mid range there is no comparability to speak of, which makes the analogy useless because most wine sold is probably at least "drinkable" which cannot be said of most coffee (and by a huge margin). At the high end there are again some similarities, but not a lot of crossover in the target audiences.
The major reason why the fine wine industry has grown exponentially is that they have been able to make better and better products, at prices that the average person can afford. Their products are shelf stable and can be easily delivered to customers in a condition that it is worth consuming. People buy them, like them, and buy more.
The major difficulties that the fine coffee industry has are that most people already drink it (but regard it as a drug, not a fine beverage), and that the product cannot really be appreciated unless it is very fresh (and properly prepared), which makes delivery into the marketplace a very costly challenge. Simply trying to replicate what the wine industry has done, with coffee, will fail, because regardless of the efforts put out, most people will be confronted with the stuff poorly prepared, and in stale, not fresh, form.
ken