Aaron,
Don't over-think this!There is nothing to it. Tamping (and tampers) is the most overrated part of the whole bit . . .
Flat? Convex? C-curve? Pretty much boils down to personal preference.
- There is some opinion that a convex or C-curve tamper may "seal" the puck better against the sides of the basket, but then some people tap the tamper against the side of the portafilter and so disrupt any "seal" that may exist.
- There is some opinion that the shape of the shower screen should (help) determine the shape of the tamper -- a flat screen dictates a flat tamper; a curved screen dictates a curved tamper.
Personally, I subscribe to #1, and I'm not totally sold on #2. For that reason, I have a convex tamper but a flat shower screen.
Also, it's fairly important that the tamper
feels comfortable in the hand -- something hard to do online, but nonetheless . . . online is where I have purchased all my tampers.
Espresso Parts NW has an extensive selection of tampers, but they are only one source.
Cheers,
Jason