I've been thinking about this, and I think it's important to figure out if we're recomending equipment for someone that just wants some good espresso, or for someone that thinks espresso will be an interesting hobby? Some people will get some equipment, get some good beans, and will get some good espresso most of the time (at least better than they were getting at SB) and some ok/great espresso occasionally and that will be perfect.
Then there's the people who will get the occasional great shot, and won't be satisfied until they can get those shots all the time. Then once they do, they'll get an occasional
really great shot, and will try to figure out how to get more of those.
For the "regular" people, I'd recommend spending enough to get a machine and grinder that are easy to use and consistent because a cheaper machine might end up being a waste of money if they get frustrated with too many sink shots and put it in the basement. I'm thinking something like a Vario + BZ07 (or maybe Silvano?). Which is a decent amount of money to spend to see if you like making espresso at home, but might seem more reasonable if you add up how much you're spending on latte's every day.
For someone who might be a hobbyist, I'd say just go cheap and basic for your first machine because you're going to be upgrading no matter what you get

Maybe a Gaggia + Trespade, or a used lever + hand grinder depending on what strikes you as interesting.